{"id":32588,"date":"2026-01-12T13:11:53","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T18:11:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/?p=32588"},"modified":"2026-01-29T15:27:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T20:27:16","slug":"winter-2026-new-bern-wetland-loss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/winter-2026-new-bern-wetland-loss\/","title":{"rendered":"What Will it Cost New Bern to Lose 60% of its Wetlands?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

A new study from North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s first Coastal Resilience Team Competition winners shows that preserving inland areas may help prevent the decline of environmental benefits as open water claims coastal wetlands.<\/p>\n <\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

New Bern, North Carolina, will lose a majority of its protected wetlands to open water by 2100, according to a new study from North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s first Coastal Resilience Team Competition<\/a><\/strong> winners. These vital ecosystems could have provided several million dollars of environmental benefits in the coming decades, but researchers expect wetlands loss will significantly curtail these benefits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSixty percent of New Bern\u2019s wetlands that are currently conserved could be lost by the end of the century,\u201d says Anne Smiley, lead author and postdoctoral researcher at the UNC Institute for the Environment. \u201cThese wetlands perform essential functions, like filtering pollutants out of stormwater, stabilizing the shoreline, and supporting economically important fish.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCommunicating the value and vulnerability of these wetlands can help us craft strategies for land use that protect ecological integrity and <\/em>support economic growth,\u201d Smiley says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past evaluations of environmental benefits have lacked a clear connection to the plans and needs of the community around them. Smiley and her research team have created a model that connects ecosystem value with local land use surveys to guide urban development practices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a>
New Bern’s wetlands and developed landscapes (left) and future land use designations (right), according to the regional land use plan for New Bern, River bend, and Trent Woods. Credit: The study’s authors and Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, 10.1088\/1748-9326\/ae0cde (open access).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The team specifically focused on the role wetlands play in nitrogen removal. According to Smiley, North Carolina\u2019s coasts are facing increased flooding, meaning runoff from cities and farms that contain excess nitrogen is increasing as well. Without wetlands, which naturally filter out the excess nitrogen, coastal waters face water quality risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study<\/a><\/strong>, featured in Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, revealed that despite only accounting for 13% of the total land, areas currently designated for conservation in New Bern contribute 53% of environmental benefits through nitrogen removal — at least $90,000\u00a0worth of environmental benefits annually. If wetland loss continues at the predicted rate, there could be a total loss of around $4 million from lost nitrogen removal services over the next 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But, Smiley adds, the full range of lost environmental benefits \u2014 from all<\/em> of the ecosystem services wetlands provide \u2014 would be \u201cmuch, much larger.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As these coastal wetlands are lost, communities will need to turn to inland wetlands for the same essential functions. However, Smiley says, a large portion of the inland wetlands are currently slated for development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Smiley, urban planners may need to protect portions of wetlands currently without conservation designations, particularly those in urban transition spaces \u2014 areas on the perimeter of built-up land.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not only did Smiley and her team identify the need for increasing wetlands protections, but their model also revealed that undeveloped open spaces, such as lawns, provide similar kinds of services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe don\u2019t typically think of those kinds of \u2018urban landscapes\u2019 as providing ecosystem services, but they do,\u201d says Smiley. \u201cFuture development should account for that value by maximizing area and connectivity of open spaces.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smiley says this study identified that proactive and strategic planning is crucial for minimizing wetlands loss and protecting the essential ecosystem services that allow the New Bern community to flourish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe goals of conservation and land use initiatives may vary,\u201d she notes, “but none of them will be achieved if those habitats no longer exist.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

the full study<\/strong>:
Coastal squeeze reduces nitrogen removal services provided by wetlands: insights from an interdisciplinary framework<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

More on the Coastal Resilience Team Competition<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lily Soetebier<\/strong> is a contributing editor for Coastwatch<\/em> and an award-winning science communicator at North Carolina Sea Grant. She is pursuing an M.S. in technical communication from North Carolina State University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

lead photo credit: Adobe Stock.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

\n \n
\n \n from WINTER 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/svg><\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n \n\n <\/div>\n","protected":false,"raw":"\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

New Bern, North Carolina, will lose a majority of its protected wetlands to open water by 2100, according to a new study from North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s first Coastal Resilience Team Competition<\/a><\/strong> winners. These vital ecosystems could have provided several million dollars of environmental benefits in the coming decades, but researchers expect wetlands loss will significantly curtail these benefits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSixty percent of New Bern\u2019s wetlands that are currently conserved could be lost by the end of the century,\u201d says Anne Smiley, lead author and postdoctoral researcher at the UNC Institute for the Environment. \u201cThese wetlands perform essential functions, like filtering pollutants out of stormwater, stabilizing the shoreline, and supporting economically important fish.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCommunicating the value and vulnerability of these wetlands can help us craft strategies for land use that protect ecological integrity and <\/em>support economic growth,\u201d Smiley says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past evaluations of environmental benefits have lacked a clear connection to the plans and needs of the community around them. Smiley and her research team have created a model that connects ecosystem value with local land use surveys to guide urban development practices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a>
New Bern's wetlands and developed landscapes (left) and future land use designations (right), according to the regional land use plan for New Bern, River bend, and Trent Woods. Credit: The study's authors and Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, 10.1088\/1748-9326\/ae0cde (open access).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The team specifically focused on the role wetlands play in nitrogen removal. According to Smiley, North Carolina\u2019s coasts are facing increased flooding, meaning runoff from cities and farms that contain excess nitrogen is increasing as well. Without wetlands, which naturally filter out the excess nitrogen, coastal waters face water quality risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study<\/a><\/strong>, featured in Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, revealed that despite only accounting for 13% of the total land, areas currently designated for conservation in New Bern contribute 53% of environmental benefits through nitrogen removal -- at least $90,000\u00a0worth of environmental benefits annually. If wetland loss continues at the predicted rate, there could be a total loss of around $4 million from lost nitrogen removal services over the next 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But, Smiley adds, the full range of lost environmental benefits \u2014 from all<\/em> of the ecosystem services wetlands provide \u2014 would be \u201cmuch, much larger.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As these coastal wetlands are lost, communities will need to turn to inland wetlands for the same essential functions. However, Smiley says, a large portion of the inland wetlands are currently slated for development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Smiley, urban planners may need to protect portions of wetlands currently without conservation designations, particularly those in urban transition spaces \u2014 areas on the perimeter of built-up land.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not only did Smiley and her team identify the need for increasing wetlands protections, but their model also revealed that undeveloped open spaces, such as lawns, provide similar kinds of services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe don\u2019t typically think of those kinds of \u2018urban landscapes\u2019 as providing ecosystem services, but they do,\u201d says Smiley. \u201cFuture development should account for that value by maximizing area and connectivity of open spaces.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smiley says this study identified that proactive and strategic planning is crucial for minimizing wetlands loss and protecting the essential ecosystem services that allow the New Bern community to flourish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe goals of conservation and land use initiatives may vary,\u201d she notes, \"but none of them will be achieved if those habitats no longer exist.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

the full study<\/strong>:
Coastal squeeze reduces nitrogen removal services provided by wetlands: insights from an interdisciplinary framework<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

More on the Coastal Resilience Team Competition<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lily Soetebier<\/strong> is a contributing editor for Coastwatch<\/em> and an award-winning science communicator at North Carolina Sea Grant. She is pursuing an M.S. in technical communication from North Carolina State University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

lead photo credit: Adobe Stock.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n"},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new study from North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s first Coastal Resilience Team Competition winners shows that preserving inland areas around New Bern may help prevent the decline of environmental benefits as open water claims coastal wetlands.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":32589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"source":"","ncst_custom_author":"Lily Soetebier","ncst_show_custom_author":true,"ncst_dynamicHeaderBlockName":"ncst\/default-post-header","ncst_dynamicHeaderData":"{\"showAuthor\":true,\"showDate\":true,\"showFeaturedVideo\":false}","ncst_content_audit_freq":"","ncst_content_audit_date":"","ncst_content_audit_display":false,"ncst_backToTopFlag":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_ncst_magazine_issue":[],"class_list":["post-32588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"displayCategory":null,"acf":{"ncst_posts_meta_modified_date":null},"yoast_head":"\nWhat Will it Cost New Bern to Lose 60% of its Wetlands? 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