{"id":33164,"date":"2026-03-30T15:52:50","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T19:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/?p=33164"},"modified":"2026-04-06T16:35:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T20:35:40","slug":"spring-2026-pamlico-sound-shrimp-population","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/spring-2026-pamlico-sound-shrimp-population\/","title":{"rendered":"Gauging Pamlico Sound’s Shrimp Population"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n\n\n

.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"image:<\/a>
A white shrimp. Photo credit: NOAA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n
\n
\n

A new North Carolina Sea Grant study shows that combining shrimpers\u2019 local knowledge\u00a0with traditional science leads to a clearer picture of why shrimp populations fluctuate.\u00a0<\/p>\n <\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Shrimp play a crucial role in North Carolina estuarine and oceanic food webs and as one of the state\u2019s most valuable fisheries. Commercial harvests include brown, white, and pink shrimp, and the catch rates of all three species can vary widely from year to year as a result of changes in the numbers and locations of the three populations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our research team at East Carolina University\u2019s Coastal Studies Institute recently used more than 30 years of data from the NC Division of Marine Fisheries\u2019 trawl survey in Pamlico Sound to understand whether environmental changes were linked to changes in shrimp populations. Our models performed incredibly well, and for brown and white shrimp \u2014 the most commercially important of the three species \u2014 the models could predict at least 75% of the variability in the populations by incorporating factors like salinity, temperature, wind speed and direction, and the abundance of spawning adult shrimp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Local Shrimpers and What They Know<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

This led our team to a new question: Could we learn even more by also incorporating fishers\u2019 knowledge of which environmental conditions influence shrimp populations? We combined ecological models and a survey of commercial shrimp fishers to study the influence of storms, wind, rainfall, temperature, and offshore reproduction on the abundance of white and brown shrimp in Pamlico Sound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a>
A shrimper repairs his net. Credit: NCSU Photos.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Storms, rainfall, and ocean temperature are the main factors driving shrimp populations, according to fishers\u2019 local ecological knowledge. Modeling also identified wind as an important predictor. Both the local ecological knowledge and our modeling results showed that white shrimp populations have been on the rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our findings indicate that the local knowledge of fishers and scientific modeling are valuable for fisheries management and can inform policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A more participatory approach for the shrimp fishery could enhance information exchange and mutual, perceived trustworthiness among fishers and managers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

the full study<\/strong>
\u201cEnvironmental Drivers of Shrimp Abundance: Comparing Insights  from Local Ecological Knowledge and Empirical Modeling\u201d<\/strong><\/a> in Frontiers  in Marine Science<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

see also<\/strong>
\u201cEnvironmental and Climate Variability Drive Population Size of Annual Penaeid Shrimp in a Large Lagoonal Estuary<\/strong>\u201d<\/a> in PLoS ONE<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

more on sustainable fisheries <\/a>  <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nadine Heck<\/strong> is an assistant professor in the Department of Coastal Studies at East Carolina University. Her research explores human-environment interaction in the context of fisheries, protected areas, and ecosystem-based adaptation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James Morley<\/strong> is a fishery ecologist in the Department of Biology at East Carolina University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lela Schlenker<\/strong> is a marine ecologist with experience in research, scientific communication, teaching, and renewable energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Samantha Farquhar<\/strong> is a lecturer in marine and environmental science at the Coast Guard Academy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This story originally appeared in North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s award-winning Hook, Line & Science<\/em> series. Visit HookLineScience.com<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n \n
\n \n from SPRING 2026<\/span>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/svg><\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n \n\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false,"raw":"\n\n\n\n\n

.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"image:<\/a>
A white shrimp. Photo credit: NOAA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Shrimp play a crucial role in North Carolina estuarine and oceanic food webs and as one of the state\u2019s most valuable fisheries. Commercial harvests include brown, white, and pink shrimp, and the catch rates of all three species can vary widely from year to year as a result of changes in the numbers and locations of the three populations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our research team at East Carolina University\u2019s Coastal Studies Institute recently used more than 30 years of data from the NC Division of Marine Fisheries\u2019 trawl survey in Pamlico Sound to understand whether environmental changes were linked to changes in shrimp populations. Our models performed incredibly well, and for brown and white shrimp \u2014 the most commercially important of the three species \u2014 the models could predict at least 75% of the variability in the populations by incorporating factors like salinity, temperature, wind speed and direction, and the abundance of spawning adult shrimp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Local Shrimpers and What They Know<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

This led our team to a new question: Could we learn even more by also incorporating fishers\u2019 knowledge of which environmental conditions influence shrimp populations? We combined ecological models and a survey of commercial shrimp fishers to study the influence of storms, wind, rainfall, temperature, and offshore reproduction on the abundance of white and brown shrimp in Pamlico Sound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a>
A shrimper repairs his net. Credit: NCSU Photos.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Storms, rainfall, and ocean temperature are the main factors driving shrimp populations, according to fishers\u2019 local ecological knowledge. Modeling also identified wind as an important predictor. Both the local ecological knowledge and our modeling results showed that white shrimp populations have been on the rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our findings indicate that the local knowledge of fishers and scientific modeling are valuable for fisheries management and can inform policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A more participatory approach for the shrimp fishery could enhance information exchange and mutual, perceived trustworthiness among fishers and managers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

the full study<\/strong>
\u201cEnvironmental Drivers of Shrimp Abundance: Comparing Insights  from Local Ecological Knowledge and Empirical Modeling\u201d<\/strong><\/a> in Frontiers  in Marine Science<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

see also<\/strong>
\u201cEnvironmental and Climate Variability Drive Population Size of Annual Penaeid Shrimp in a Large Lagoonal Estuary<\/strong>\u201d<\/a> in PLoS ONE<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

more on sustainable fisheries <\/a>  <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nadine Heck<\/strong> is an assistant professor in the Department of Coastal Studies at East Carolina University. Her research explores human-environment interaction in the context of fisheries, protected areas, and ecosystem-based adaptation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James Morley<\/strong> is a fishery ecologist in the Department of Biology at East Carolina University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lela Schlenker<\/strong> is a marine ecologist with experience in research, scientific communication, teaching, and renewable energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Samantha Farquhar<\/strong> is a lecturer in marine and environmental science at the Coast Guard Academy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This story originally appeared in North Carolina Sea Grant\u2019s award-winning Hook, Line & Science<\/em> series. Visit HookLineScience.com<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n"},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

White shrimp have been on the rise, and a new North Carolina Sea Grant study shows that combining shrimpers\u2019 local knowledge\u00a0with traditional science leads to a clearer picture of why shrimp populations fluctuate.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"source":"","ncst_custom_author":"Nadine Heck, James Morley, Lela Schlenker, and Samanta Farquhar","ncst_show_custom_author":true,"ncst_dynamicHeaderBlockName":"ncst\/default-post-header","ncst_dynamicHeaderData":"{\"showAuthor\":true,\"showDate\":true,\"showFeaturedVideo\":false,\"showReadingTime\":false,\"subtitle\":\"Shrimpers, Scientists, and What They Can Tell Us<\/strong>\"}","ncst_content_audit_freq":"","ncst_content_audit_date":"","ncst_content_audit_display":false,"ncst_backToTopFlag":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_ncst_magazine_issue":[],"class_list":["post-33164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"displayCategory":null,"acf":{"ncst_posts_meta_modified_date":null},"yoast_head":"\nGauging Pamlico Sound's Shrimp Population - 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